The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fernando de la Mora 28.8%
Draw 28.7%
Deportivo Santaní 42.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.1%
23.8%
53.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
23%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fernando de la Mora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fernando de la Mora's performance.
Deportivo Santaní has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Santaní might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fernando de la Mora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Santaní could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Santaní Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 1 - 0, Chaparro R. ⚽,
58', 1 - 1, Villalba E. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Mereles J. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, Mereles J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fernando de la Mora won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Fernando de la Mora (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Deportivo Santaní is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Deportivo Santaní may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Deportivo Santaní carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Fernando de la Mora has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:16 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fernando de la Mora against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1.5 per game).