Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Fernando de la Mora		Deportivo Santaní

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.18	3	3.1
	2.22	3.01	3.1
	5.46	3.59	1.63	Watch
	2.2	3.06	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.17)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.82 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fernando de la Mora
34.3%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo Santaní
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fernando de la Mora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fernando de la Mora's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Santaní has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Santaní's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fernando de la Mora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Santaní, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Santaní Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Barbas B. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Samaniego A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Barbas B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fernando de la Mora won 1.

Fernando de la Mora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Santaní's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Deportivo Santaní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fernando de la Mora could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fernando de la Mora won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fernando de la Mora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
10.08.25	Tacuary - Fernando de la Mora	0:1 ✺
04.08.25	Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Guaireña - Fernando de la Mora	5:2 ✺
18.07.25	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:2 ✺
11.07.25	Independiente Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTLWL
- Deportivo Santaní
Copa Paraguay
12.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.08.25	Deportivo Santaní - Encarnación	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	12 de Junio - Deportivo Santaní	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Guarani de Fram - Deportivo Santaní	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
11.05.25	Deportivo Santaní - Fernando de la Mora	2:0
03.08.24	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Santaní	0:0
26.04.24	Deportivo Santaní - Fernando de la Mora	2:2
06.10.23	Deportivo Santaní - Fernando de la Mora	2:1
01.07.23	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Santaní	3:2
09.07.22	Fernando de la Mora - Deportivo Santaní	0:1
01.04.22	Deportivo Santaní - Fernando de la Mora	2:2

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