The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 55.7%
Draw 28%
Arsenal Sarandí 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
29.6%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
28.8%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro Carril Oeste's performance.
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Sarandí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro Carril Oeste that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Sarandí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Ferro Carril Oeste - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferro Carril (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Boolsen P. 2. Rivero F. 6. Meritello F. 3. Ayala R. 8. Cosi J. 5. Castellani G. 7. Vallejos M. 10. Palacio P. 9. Benegas M. 11. Garcia F.
1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Vera M. 2. Roselli N. 6. Sosa A. 3. Cocca M. 8. Purita E. 5. Vila J. 7. Frascone N. 10. Fernandez E. 11. Serrano V. 9. Klusener G.
Substitutes
20. Alonso A. 15. Flores S. 18. Gonzalez T. 13. Monserrat M. 19. Montiel N. 14. Nazareno K. 17. Quiroga S. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 16. Tomasetti G.
16. Ayala A. 14. Bernardi B. 19. Bordagaray F. 15. Colletta T. 17. Flores M. 12. Mekbel F. (G) 18. Rius C. 20. Sabatini I. 13. Stringa A.
Coaches
Grelak A.
Viscovich G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Fernandez E. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Boolsen P. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Garcia F. ⚽,
45', Ayala R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vila J. ↓, Colletta T. ↑,
46', Vallejos M. 🟨,
62', Purita E. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
64', Vallejos M. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
65', Garcia F. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
76', Serrano V. ↓, Stringa A. ↑,
76', Benegas M. ↓, Montiel N. ↑,
76', Castellani G. ↓, Flores S. ↑,
77', Frascone N. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
80', Monetti F. 🟨,
81', Roselli N. 🟨,
84', Cosi J. ↓, Nazareno K. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
Ferro Carril is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Ferro Carril is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Carril won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
Argentina
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Monetti F. (G) 
Garcia F. 
Flores S. 
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