The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 43.4%
Draw 30.6%
Nueva Chicago 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
31.9%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
32.7%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro Carril Oeste's performance.
Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nueva Chicago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro Carril Oeste that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
44.4%
11.1%
Ferro Carril Oeste - Nueva Chicago Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ferro Carril: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Arena N. 6. Lorenzo A. 2. Boolsen P. 3. Murillo F. 5. Gomez N. (C) 8. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 11. Gallardo D. 10. Blanco R. 7. Retamar K. 9. Levato M.
1. Ferrero F. (G) 4. Martinez A. 2. Callegari S. (C) 6. Rossi T. 3. Ramirez R. 5. Bottari T. 8. Altamirano G. 7. Paz A. 10. Amarfil M. 11. Balbuena R. 9. Maggi I.
Substitutes
19. Caceres F. 13. Diaz G. 15. Fernandez Pinto J. 17. Mosca C. 16. Mussis F. 14. Rodriguez M. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 18. Tomasetti G.
18. Arguello M. 16. Cardozo E. 20. Castro F. 12. Diaz L. (G) 17. Ortiz M. 19. Pastorelli A. 13. Rocaniere G. 14. Rodriguez J. 15. Vega G.
Coaches
Biggeri A.
Montenegro A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Balbuena R. ⚽,
17', Boolsen P. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
19', 0 - 2, Paz A. ⚽,
35', Ramirez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Martinez A. 🟨,
60', Arena N. 🟨,
60', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
64', Paz A. ↓, Pastorelli A. ↑,
71', Maggi I. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
71', Altamirano G. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
71', Gallardo D. ↓, Benegas M. D. ↑,
71', Arena N. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
76', Gomez N. 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Retamar K. ⚽,
82', Murillo F. 🟨,
87', Amarfil M. ↓, Vega G. ↑,
90+2', Castro F. 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Nueva Chicago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Ferro Carril will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:15 (average 1.4:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Carril won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).
Argentina
World
Watch
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Monllor M. (G) 
Rodriguez J. 
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