Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	7	Watch
	1.57	3.5	6
	1.56	3.55	6.4	Watch
	1.55	3.57	7.42
	1.59	3.51	6.69	Watch
	1.5	3.6	7
	1.56	3.5	6.41
	1.56	3.55	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	3.54 ↓ (3.9)	6.67 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
59.7%

Draw
26.3%

Nueva Chicago
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.5%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 8. Munoz M. 5. Antonio I. 11. Lencioni F. 10. Puch J. 9. Ferreyra B. 7. Andrada B.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 4. Motroni J. 2. Callegari S. (C) 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Rizzi F. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Mendez E. 7. Cortes F. 10. Almaraz A. 9. Maggi I. 11. Molinas I. A.
Substitutes
15. Antonini F. 16. Bustos L. 13. Calderon E. 17. Cingolani L. 20. Galeano M. 14. Recalde M. 12. Rigamonti C. (G) 19. Servetto N. 18. Torres F.	13. Arroyo D. 20. Beltramone E. 16. Cortes B. 12. Diaz L. (G) 17. Fernandez G. 14. Muscia G. 19. Rodriguez I. 15. Soto G. 18. Villalba R.
Coaches
Medran E.	Perazzo W

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Molinas I. A. 🟨,
35', Maggi I. 🟨,
45+1', Cortes F. 🟨,
45+4', Ferreyra B. (Pen),
45+5', Mendez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cortes F. 🟨,
47', 1 - 0, Lencioni F. ⚽,
59', Molinas I. A. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
59', Almaraz A. ↓, Cortes B. ↑,
61', Andrada B. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
76', Ferreyra B. ↓, Servetto N. ↑,
76', Puch J. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Rodriguez I. ⚽, Cortes B. (A),
80', Saavedra F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
82', Maggi I. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
83', Mendez E. 🟨,
90', Rodriguez T. ↓, Muscia G. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 3.

Gimnasia Mendoza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nueva Chicago is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nueva Chicago could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnasia Mendoza is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Mendoza won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Mendoza won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Colón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWTT
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.25	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Central Norte - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Nueva Chicago - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Chaco For Ever - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
12.02.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Nueva Chicago	2:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.09.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Nueva Chicago	2:1
12.05.24	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:1
04.09.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Nueva Chicago	2:1
22.04.23	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:2
10.06.22	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1
17.09.21	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2

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