The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 32%
Draw 35%
Ferro Carril Oeste 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
30.7%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
29.2%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Ferro Carril (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Alvarado (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarado (votes: 2 - 40%). Ferro Carril (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Silva K. 6. Blasi B. (C) 3. Irazoque A. 8. Bolivar A. 5. Mansilla M. 10. Miori M. 11. Gobetto J. 7. Martinez E. 9. Susvielles J.
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Rivero F. 6. Lorenzo A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Palacio P. 5. Tomasetti G. 10. Quiroga S. 11. Alonso A. 7. Campos M. 9. Benegas M.
Substitutes
14. Aleo A. 19. Amilivia T. 20. Bolzicco T. 18. Borgnino M. 16. Castellano A. 13. Gorgerino C. 12. Henricot F. (G) 15. Ortale M. 17. Russo F.
13. Boolsen P. 20. Diellos D. 16. Fernandez Pinto J. 18. Garcia F. 14. Meritello F. 15. Monserrat M. 17. Parisi L. 19. Romero L. 12. Ruiz L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Susvielles J. ⚽,
29', Mansilla M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Alonso A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
52', Bolivar A. 🟨,
68', Susvielles J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
68', Mansilla M. ↓, Ortale M. ↑,
69', Tomasetti G. ↓, Meritello F. ↑,
70', Quiroga S. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
70', Benegas M. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
72', Martinez E. ↓, Gorgerino C. ↑,
82', Palacio P. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
85', 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Bolzicco T. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Amilivia T. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).
Alvarado has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ferro Carril is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Alvarado - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 
Garcia F. 
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