Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - APERTURA - ROUND 15

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Ferrocarril Midland		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2	3	3.6
	2.03	3.07	3.87
	2.01	3.15	3.68	Watch
	2.07	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)	3.05 (3.05)	3.57 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
44.8%

Draw
29.8%

Club Luján
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

29.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Ferrocarril Midland - Club Luján Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrocarril won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ferrocarril will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ferrocarril won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrocarril won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera C
24.04.23	Real Pilar - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Liniers	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	General Lamadrid - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTLLT
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
23.04.23	Club Luján - Atlético Claypole	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Deportivo Español - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Berazategui - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Club Luján - Real Pilar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
08.08.22	Club Luján - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1
03.04.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Luján	1:1
24.10.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Luján	0:2
27.06.21	Club Luján - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
20.12.20	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Luján	0:2
01.10.19	Club Luján - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2
22.03.19	Club Luján - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0

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