Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 1

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia Jujuy		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.85	4.5	Watch
	1.92	2.92	4.25	Watch
	2.02	2.99	4.51
	2.01	2.9	4.52	Watch
	2	2.8	4.33
	1.94	2.82	4.36	Watch
	2.05	2.85	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.54)	2.88 ↓ (3.5)	4.4 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
46.8%

Draw
32.2%

Ferrocarril Midland
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

26.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia Jujuy's form might have worsened.

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferrocarril Midland's recent form is better than expected.

Gimnasia Jujuy - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Ferrocarril (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrocarril (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 9. Cachi M. 8. Casa M. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 7. Maidana F. 11. Menendez C. 4. Minervino D. 10. Molina F. 5. Soria H.	1. Leguiza M. (G) . Aguilar D. 11. Campana A. I. 3. Casarico P. 2. Cepeda G. 4. Diaz Laharque L. 6. Gonzalez F. 9. Perales J. 7. Rogoski M. 10. Roseti M. 5. Violini N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Menendez C. ⚽, Casa M. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Menendez C. ⚽, Cachi M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Casarico P. ↓, Gigli L. ↑,
46', Campana A. I. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
46', Torancio E. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
60', Cachi M. ↓, Arganaraz A. ↑,
60', Casa M. ↓, Pinto A. ↑,
61', Cachi M. ↓, Arganaraz A. ↑,
64', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
68', Molina F. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
72', Roseti M. 🟨,
72', Gigli L. 🟨,
78', Menendez C. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
78', Violini N. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
89', Paradela F. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Vega J. ⚽,

Preview

Gimnasia Jujuy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gimnasia Jujuy is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Copa Argentina
11.02.26	Central Córdoba - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:3 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.11.25	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	Deportivo Madryn awarded ✺
12.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WL?TW
- Ferrocarril Midland
Copa Argentina
21.01.26	Argentinos Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera B
15.11.25	Deportivo Flandria - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Fénix	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Ferrocarril Midland	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Liniers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42 WLWWW

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