Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 19

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	14:00	SportsEngine Play


	Colegiales		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	1.81	3	5
	1.82	2.90	4.80
	1.82	2.92	4.95
	1.93	2.9	5.86
	1.95	2.72	5.43	Watch
	1.87	2.75	5.8
	1.86	3.01	5.02
	1.82	2.9	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.96)	2.89 ↑ (2.87)	5.22 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
50%

Draw
32.2%

Gimnasia y Tiro
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

32%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.8%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Colegiales - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Colegiales will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (C) 4. Malagueno F. 6. Ortiz L. 2. Rivero F. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Ocampo E. 5. Marin F. 11. Ramirez M. 9. Toloza N. 7. Gonzalez L. 10. Castillo L.	1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Galetto J. 6. Diaz G. (C) 2. Guanini M. 3. Aguirre J. 5. Sivetti F. 8. Banega T. 11. Rojas F. 10. Rinaldi N. 7. Rocca J. 9. Contin N.
Substitutes
19. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 13. Insua E. 18. Juarez L. 15. Mamani M. 20. Monserrat R. E. 14. Montiel F. 16. Trinidad E. 17. Zicarelli F.	20. Batista I. 17. Capano J. 18. Chaves I. F. 14. Montoya L. 19. Montoya W. 13. Oviedo J. C. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 15. Rodriguez L. 16. Villarreal R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Toloza N. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Galetto J. ⚽, Rocca J. (A),
31', Aguirre J. 🟨,
39', Sivetti F. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Gonzalez L. ⚽, Castillo L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Monserrat R. E. ↑,
47', Banega T. 🟨,
59', Rocca J. ↓, Montoya L. ↑,
60', Toloza N. ↓, Mamani M. ↑,
60', Ocampo E. ↓, Zicarelli F. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Sivetti F. ⚽,
72', Ramirez M. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
83', Castillo L. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
85', Aguirre J. ↓, Oviedo J. C. ↑,
85', Contin N. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
89', Banega T. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Colegiales is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Colegiales won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Colegiales won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.06.26	Colegiales - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colegiales - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Colegiales - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Tristán Suárez - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLTT
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.06.26	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
13.06.26	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
05.06.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.02.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colegiales	2:1
20.09.25	Colegiales - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0
18.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colegiales	4:0

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