Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 1
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Ferrocarril Midland		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.75	4.2
	1.98	2.88	4.15	Watch
	1.96	2.81	4.26
	2.20	2.50	4.29	Watch
	2	2.8	4
	1.99	3.02	4.02
	1.93	2.85	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)	2.8 ↓ (2.91)	4.16 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
45.6%

Draw
32.5%

Real Pilar
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

31.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

30%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ferrocarril Midland - Real Pilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maldonado L. (G) 5. Calabria G. 10. Campana A. I. 2. Castorani P. 4. Diaz Laharque L. 3. Figueroa R. 8. Frattini M. (C) 6. Gigli L. 11. Molina F. 7. Rogoski M. 9. Vico L.	1. Sanchez S. (G) 10. Chambi L. 11. Crocco M. 9. Dulon A. 3. Franco E. 7. Gomez M. 8. Govi G. 4. Leguiza D. 2. Otermin A. (C) 5. Rios N. 6. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
19. Abbruzzesse M. 15. Aguilar D. 12. Avendano N. (G) 20. Chavez C. 17. Gomez G. 16. Goyeneche J. 14. Meza F. 13. Olavarria M. 18. Olivera E.	14. Barreiro A. 19. Cesar J. 13. Fantino L. 17. Martin B. 20. Ochoa J. 18. Risso B. 12. Romano (G) 16. Smith I. 15. Vergara D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Figueroa R. 🟨,
41', Frattini M. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Govi G. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
65', Calabria G. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
65', Figueroa R. ↓, Goyeneche J. ↑,
67', 🟨,
73', Chambi L. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
75', Aguilar D. ↓, Abbruzzesse M. ↑,
75', Campana A. I. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
79', 🟨,
80', Crocco M. ↓, Martin B. ↑,
80', Dulon A. ↓, Risso B. ↑,
90+2', Gomez M. ↓, Barreiro A. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 3.

Ferrocarril is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Pilar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ferrocarril is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferrocarril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
17.08.25	UAI Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Italiano	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Acassuso	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Brown de Adrogué - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
16.08.25	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Real Pilar - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Argentino de Merlo - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Real Pilar - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
05.04.25	Real Pilar - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1
Argentinian Primera C
03.09.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Real Pilar	1:2
24.04.23	Real Pilar - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2
13.09.22	Real Pilar - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1
10.05.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Real Pilar	2:0
26.09.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Real Pilar	0:0
09.05.21	Real Pilar - Ferrocarril Midland	2:0

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