Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Ferrocarril Midland		San Martín de San Juan

	1	X	2
	1.96	3	4.2	Watch
	1.98	2.92	4.15	Watch
	2.05	2.99	4.5
	2	2.99	4.38	Watch
	2.05	2.8	4
	1.89	3.02	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.19)	2.95 ↑ (2.86)	4.24 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
46.7%

Draw
31.4%

San Martín de San Juan
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

32.7%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

31.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+2%)

Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de San Juan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Cepeda G. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Casarico P. 11. Campana A. I. 5. Violini N. 8. Torancio E. 10. Roseti M. 7. Rogoski M. 9. Perales J.	1. Diaz Robles S. (G) 6. Osores M. 2. Aguilera E. 4. Murillo F. 3. Cocca M. 10. Gonzalez S. 5. Pelaitay N. 8. Monje L. 11. Iachetti N. 7. Jaurena S. 9. Funez N.
Substitutes
15. Camano J. 14. Figueroa R. 17. Flores M. 16. Frattini M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 13. Gigli L. 19. Guzman D. 20. Vega J. 18. Vico L.	16. Acosta G. 17. Aguero L. 19. Hachen G. 18. Juncos B. 13. Marchio J. 14. Nadalin F. 20. Rossi G. 12. Velazco M. (G) 15. Zuliani H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
36', Osores M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Osores M. ↓, Zuliani H. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Jaurena S. ⚽, Diaz Robles S. (A),
58', Perales J. 🟨,
59', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
66', Gonzalez S. ↓, Aguero L. ↑,
66', Iachetti N. ↓, Nadalin F. ↑,
67', Gonzalez F. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
67', Torancio E. ↓, Vico L. ↑,
75', Campana A. I. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
75', Perales J. ↓, Gigli L. ↑,
78', Murillo F. ↓, Hachen G. ↑,
82', Funez N. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
83', Monje L. 🟨,
90+6', Leguiza M. 🟨,
90+6', Hachen G. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferrocarril is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Temperley	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Maipú - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTWT
- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.26	San Martín de San Juan - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	San Martín de San Juan - Racing de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	San Martín de San Juan - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTTL

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