Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Nueva Chicago		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.45	2.85	Watch
	2.92	2.52	2.82	Watch
	3.18	2.5	2.99
	2.89	2.51	3.13	Watch
	3	2.5	2.8
	2.95	2.5	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.61)	2.5 ↓ (2.7)	2.94 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
31%

Draw
37.3%

Ferrocarril Midland
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

34.6%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

35.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nueva Chicago, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Nueva Chicago - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Zalazar R. E. 6. Paz G. 3. Ferracutti G. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Mendez E. 10. Vega G. 11. Barros D. 7. Ocampo T. 9. Cocimano S.	1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Cepeda G. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Casarico P. 8. Camano J. 5. Violini N. (C) 10. Roseti M. 11. Campana A. I. 7. Rogoski M. 9. Perales J.
Substitutes
14. Arroyo D. 19. Bergara M. 17. Cardozo E. 13. Gissi D. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 20. Petrecca N. 15. Ramirez R. 18. Romero M. S. 16. Ruiz A.	14. Castorani P. 17. Flores M. 16. Frattini M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 13. Gigli L. 15. Penepil M. 19. Primante S. 18. Torancio E. 20. Vega J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Campana A. I. ⚽, Roseti M. (A),
45', Roseti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Vega G. ⚽,
65', Zalazar R. E. 🟨,
66', Ocampo T. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
66', Barros D. ↓, Petrecca N. ↑,
67', Roseti M. ↓, Torancio E. ↑,
68', Violini N. 🟨,
70', Mendez E. 🟨,
74', Camano J. 🟨,
75', Vega G. ↓, Romero M. S. ↑,
81', Camano J. ↓, Gigli L. ↑,
81', Perales J. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
82', Penepil M. 🟨,
84', Cepeda G. 🟨,
85', Ferracutti G. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
86', Rodriguez T. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
88', Campana A. I. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
90+1', Paz G. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Rogoski M. ⚽, Flores M. (A),
90+7', 2 - 2, Ruiz A. ⚽, Arroyo D. (A),
90+7', Rogoski M. 🟨,
90+9', Cocimano S. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Nueva Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ferrocarril has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.04.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Nueva Chicago - All Boys	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Nueva Chicago	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WTWLW
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Temperley	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Maipú - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWTW

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