Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Ferrol		Almería

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.3	1.8
	4.2	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4.62	3.56	1.85
	4.45	3.51	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.85
	4.11	3.64	1.88	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.87)	3.5 ↓ (3.54)	1.84 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
22.1%

Draw
26.8%

Almería
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.3%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	8.1%	86.5%

Ferrol - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: Almería will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 15. Castro D. 6. Sanz A. 10. Sene J. 11. Nacho 14. Gelardo A. 17. Dorrio J. 20. Gimenez A.	1. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 4. Kaiky 3. Gonzalez E. 20. Centelles A. 6. Lopy D. 8. Melero G. (C) 17. Pozo A. 11. Arribas S. 12. Leo Baptistao 9. Suarez L.
Substitutes
12. Bebe 7. Borrego C. 26. Carballo D. 3. Correa R. 2. Delmas J. 1. Emilio (G) 9. Jauregi E. 8. Lopez A. 24. Perea L. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)	28. Fettal R. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 24. Langa B. 19. Marezi 10. Melamed N. 36. Perovic M. 2. Puigmal A. 34. Quintanilla R. 16. Radovanovic A.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Leo Baptistao ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
16', Castro D. 🟨,
24', Sene J. 🟨,
26', Naldo 🟨,
32', Castro D. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Melamed N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 1, Gelardo A. ⚽, Dorrio J. (A),
51', 1 - 2, Suarez L. (Pen),
57', 1 - 3, Arribas S. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
63', 1 - 4, Suarez L. ⚽, Pozo A. (A),
66', Nacho ↓, Bebe ↑,
66', Sene J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
66', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
74', Suarez L. ↓, Marezi ↑,
74', Melero G. ↓, Quintanilla R. ↑,
75', Gelardo A. ↓, Carballo D. ↑,
76', Quintanilla R. 🟨,
82', Pozo A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
82', Arribas S. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almería in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Almería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ferrol have a series of guest games.

In this match Almería is a favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Robertone L. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
15.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	1:5 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Barakaldo - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Eldense - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	Castellón - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WLWTT
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.24	Almería - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Málaga - Almería	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Leonesa - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Almería - Granada	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Almería - Córdoba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWW

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