Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 18

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Muniz Munoz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ferrol		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.9	2.25	Watch
	3.6	2.65	2.25
	3.6	2.8	2.3	Watch
	3.92	2.8	2.38
	3.85	2.77	2.33	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	3.81	2.74	2.35	Watch
	3.6	2.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	2.82 ↓ (3.03)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
25.7%

Draw
33.4%

Real Oviedo
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

30.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Ferrol - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Oviedo will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 2. Delmas J. 4. Puric A. 15. Castro D. 22. Bunuel A. 6. Sanz A. 10. Sene J. 14. Gelardo A. 11. Nacho 7. Borrego C. 17. Dorrio J.	13. Escandell A. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 21. Pomares C. 11. Colombatto S. 19. Vinas F. 20. Seoane J. 8. Cazorla S. (C) 16. Chaira I. 9. Alemao
Substitutes
12. Bebe 3. Correa R. 1. Emilio (G) 20. Gimenez A. 8. Lopez A. 24. Perea L. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)	3. Alhassane R. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 18. de la Fuente P. 5. del Moral A. 23. Hassan H. 30. Marco Esteban 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 10. Portillo F. 6. Sibo K. 29. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Calleja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Seoane J. ↓, Sibo K. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Cazorla S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Delmas J. ↓, Bebe ↑,
46', Gelardo A. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
50', Castro D. 🟨,
52', 0 - 2, Ahijado L. ⚽,
62', Cazorla S. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
62', Vinas F. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
62', Sene J. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Portillo F. ⚽, Hassan H. (A),
66', Bunuel A. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
73', Chaira I. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
73', Colombatto S. ↓, del Moral A. ↑,
83', Sanz A. 🟨,
86', Calvo D. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Gimenez A. (Pen),
87', Borrego C. ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Alemao ⚽, del Moral A. (A),
90+8', 1 - 5, Alemao ⚽, Hassan H. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ferrol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ferrol have a series of guest games.

Oviedo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Barakaldo - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Eldense - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	Castellón - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Ferrol - Levante	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Eibar - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTTTL
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.24	Real Oviedo - Huesca	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
17.11.24	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
10.11.24	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Real Oviedo - Burgos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.01.24	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	1:3
20.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	1:1
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	1:1
20.07.22	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.03.15	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	0:0
12.10.14	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	4:1
20.04.14	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	0:1

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