Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Cid Camacho G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Eldense		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	5.25	Watch
	1.82	3	4.6
	1.87	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.21	5.27
	1.85	3.09	5.37	Watch
	1.91	2.99	5.15	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.92)	3.07 ↓ (3.12)	5.02 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
50.5%

Draw
30.7%

Ferrol
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

29%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Eldense - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Ferrol will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eldense: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mackay I. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Pina 14. Monsalve N. 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 24. Timor D. 20. Chapela I. 9. Quintana Nacho 11. Ortuno J.	25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 15. Castro D. (C) 6. Sanz A. 10. Sene J. 11. Nacho 8. Lopez A. 17. Dorrio J. 20. Gimenez A.
Substitutes
21. Bernal A. 12. Geraldes F. 29. Godoy A. 22. Grigore R. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 1. Martin D. (G) 3. Martos I. 10. Montes C. 18. Ropero U. 16. Youness	12. Bebe 7. Borrego C. 2. Delmas J. 1. Emilio (G) 14. Gelardo A. 24. Perea L. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)
Coaches
Ponz D.	Parralo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gamez F. 🟨,
56', Ruiz J. 🟨,
59', Lopez A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
63', Timor D. ↓, Youness ↑,
63', Gamez F. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
80', Ortuno J. ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
81', Chapela I. ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
81', Gimenez A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
83', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
84', Sene J. 🟨,
89', Quintana Nacho ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
90+3', Bunuel A. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Eldense is a favorite.

There will not play in Eldense: Godoy A. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Perea L. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Eldense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
24.11.24	Mirandés - Eldense	1:0 ✺
20.11.24	Eldense - Huesca	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Eldense - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Granada - Eldense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Atlético Paso - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.24	Castellón - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Ferrol - Levante	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Eibar - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Ferrol - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Cuarte - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
25.02.24	Eldense - Ferrol	2:0
22.10.23	Ferrol - Eldense	1:1

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