Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 22

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Eleven Sports 6


	Ferrol		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.85
	2.4	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.59	3.15	3.1
	2.59	3.14	3.1
	2.45	3.1	2.75
	2.44	3.24	2.94	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)	2.94 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
38.2%

Draw
29.9%

Espanyol
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.2%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

29.3%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	42.3%	34.6%

Ferrol - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Espanyol will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.3% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cantero A. (G) 2. Delmas J. 4. Garcia H. J. 15. Castro D. 21. Moi 6. Bernal J. 22. Losada I. 8. Lopez A. (C) 14. Vadillo A. 20. Gimenez A. 7. Pena H.	13. Pacheco F. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 3. Gomez S. 5. Calero F. 14. Olivan B. 7. Puado J. 10. Lozano P. 18. Aguado A. 20. Exposito 22. Braithwaite M. 11. Milla P.
Substitutes
17. Chuca 24. Cubero S. 13. Emilio (G) 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 9. Justo M. 16. Manzanara F. 18. Martinez B. 11. Nacho 3. Pumar F. 19. Sabin	9. Balde K. 8. Bare K. 6. Cabrera L. 38. Forns I. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 15. Gragera J. 17. Jofre 27. Martinez R. 4. Ruiz V. 34. Sadik O. 19. Sanchez S.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Ramis L. M.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Espanyol have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Ferrol - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Valladolid - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Ferrol - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
10.12.23	Huesca - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Ferrol - Leganés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLW
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Espanyol - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.23	Espanyol - Burgos	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	FC Andorra - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Espanyol - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.23	Espanyol - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.10.23	Espanyol - Ferrol	3:0

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