Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Ferrol		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.59	3.61	1.87
	4.56	3.61	1.85
	4	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.12	3.43	1.91	Watch
	4	3.4	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.4)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	1.85 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
22.1%

Draw
27.1%

Sevilla
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sevilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sevilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	10.3%	75.9%

Ferrol - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Sevilla will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 2. Delmas J. 4. Garcia H. J. 15. Castro D. 18. Martinez B. 14. Vadillo A. 16. Manzanara F. 6. Bernal J. 7. Pena H. (C) 9. Justo M. 19. Sabin	1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 26. Sanchez J. 4. Ramos S. (C) 23. Marcao 27. Salas K. 7. Suso 21. Torres O. 18. Sow D. 3. Pedrosa A. 9. Mir R. 5. Ocampos L.
Substitutes
25. Cantero A. (G) 17. Chuca 24. Cubero S. 13. Emilio (G) 20. Gimenez A. 8. Lopez A. 22. Losada I. 21. Moi 11. Nacho 3. Pumar F.	19. Acuna M. 22. Bade L. 29. Benavides D. 28. Bueno M. 31. Flores A. (G) 2. Gattoni F. 25. Januzaj A. 8. Jordan J. 39. Lulo 14. Nianzou T. 32. Romero R. (G)
Coaches
Parralo C.	Sanchez Flores Q.

Preview

Ferrol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sevilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sevilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sevilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ferrol to win the game is with odds 3.89.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Valladolid - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Ferrol - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
10.12.23	Huesca - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Ferrol - Leganés	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
03.12.23	Ferrol - Albacete Balompié	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLWW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.24	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
19.12.23	Granada - Sevilla	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Sevilla - Getafe	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.12.23	Lens - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.11.19	Ferrol - Sevilla	Canceled

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