Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Ferrol		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.72	3.1	4.6
	1.6	3.4	5.3
	1.7	3.42	5.44
	1.74	3.34	5
	1.75	3.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	4.87 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
53.6%

Draw
27.6%

Fuenlabrada
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

29.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

29.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Ferrol - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fuenlabrada is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.02.23	Leonesa - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Ferrol - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Ferrol - San Sebastian Reyes	3:0 ✺
07.01.23	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTWL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.02.23	Ceuta - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Talavera de la Reina - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Fuenlabrada - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Linense - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.10.22	Fuenlabrada - Ferrol	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.04.18	Fuenlabrada - Ferrol	4:0
19.11.17	Ferrol - Fuenlabrada	0:1

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