The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid Castilla 26.7%
Draw 27.6%
Ferrol 45.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
29.8%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
30.1%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.
Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferrol's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ferrol will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fran (G) 2. Jimenez D. 15. Martinez J. 23. Fati L. 21. Aguado D. 8. Moran M. A. (C) 6. Perea C. 27. Pitarch Pinar T. 20. Fortuny P. 9. Zuniga L. 11. Iglesias Lois B.
1. Parera P. M. (G) 22. Mardones A. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Pujol E. 16. Garcia S. 10. Pascu 8. Gorostidi A. (C) 5. Noriega J. 23. Pena A. 11. Dacosta R. 9. Escobar A.
Substitutes
33. Castrelo G. 17. Fortea J. 28. Martin R. 25. Mestre S. (G) 29. Ortega J. 10. Palacios C. 4. Rivas M. 5. Serrano M. 13. Sunico G. (G) 3. Valdepenas V. 7. Yanez D.
7. Alvaro J. 4. Artetxe M. 21. Carballo D. 25. Diaz L. (G) 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 20. Gimenez A. 2. Miguel 17. Ramon A. 14. Tejera S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Garcia S. 🟨,
12', Parera P. M. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Pascu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Real Madrid Castilla has had a series of home games.
Ferrol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Spain
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Fran (G) 
Zuniga L. 
Pujol E. 
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