Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Ferrol		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.8	8.5
	1.41	3.8	7
	1.38	4	7.65
	1.39	3.85	7.6
	1.4	4.29	9.08
	1.41	4.15	8
	1.4	3.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.59)	3.97 ↑ (3.3)	7.95 ↑ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
65.4%

Draw
23.1%

Ceuta
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

27.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

30.7%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ferrol - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ceuta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ceuta have a series of home games.

In this match Ferrol is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.01.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Ferrol - San Sebastian Reyes	3:0 ✺
07.01.23	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Ferrol - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.12.22	Ferrol - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLTL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.01.23	Ceuta - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
19.01.23	Ceuta - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.01.23	Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Talavera de la Reina - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.23	Ceuta - Elche	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.10.22	Ceuta - Ferrol	0:2

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