Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)


	Leonesa		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3
	2.25	2.95	2.9
	2.25	3	3
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.41	3.06	3.11
	2.34	3.1	3.08
	2.3	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)	2.96 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
39.2%

Draw
30.1%

Ferrol
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Leonesa - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2.

Leonesa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.01.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Ceuta - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Leonesa - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Linares Deportivo - Leonesa	0:2 ✺
18.12.22	Leonesa - San Sebastian Reyes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWWW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.01.23	Ferrol - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Ferrol - San Sebastian Reyes	3:0 ✺
07.01.23	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Ferrol - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.22	Ferrol - Leonesa	3:2
09.04.22	Leonesa - Ferrol	0:2
23.10.21	Ferrol - Leonesa	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.04.17	Leonesa - Ferrol	3:1
19.11.16	Ferrol - Leonesa	2:3
06.03.16	Ferrol - Leonesa	0:0
18.10.15	Leonesa - Ferrol	2:2

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