Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday


	Ferrol		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	4.75
	1.57	3.7	4.8
	1.55	3.85	5.3
	1.56	3.7	5
	1.57	3.93	5.71
	1.62	3.4	5.25
	1.6	3.7	5.05
	1.57	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)	3.72 ↑ (3.11)	5.11 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
57.7%

Draw
24.5%

Linares Deportivo
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

29%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

29.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ferrol - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferrol will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 6).

Ferrol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Linares is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.12.22	Pontevedra - Ferrol	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Ferrol - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Linense - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Sestao - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.11.22	Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLLL
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.12.22	San Fernando - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Linares Deportivo - Real Madrid Castilla	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Córdoba - Linares Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Unión Adarve - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.11.22	Linares Deportivo - Linense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLWW

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