Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Orange Futbol 2, #Vamos


	Ferrol		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.63	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.65
	2.8	3.05	2.6	Watch
	2.82	3.21	2.61
	2.82	3.21	2.6	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.8
	2.85	3.13	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.97)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)	2.64 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferrol
33.7%

Draw
30.7%

Sporting de Gijón
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.5%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Ferrol - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ferrol (2.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Ferrol (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ferrol (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting de Gijón will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Emilio (G) 11. Nacho 3. Correa R. 5. Naldo 18. Martinez B. 16. Manzanara F. 10. Sene J. 17. Dorrio J. 6. Sanz A. 8. Pena H. (C) 20. Gimenez A.	13. Joel C. (G) 2. Rosas G. (C) 15. Maras N. 22. Sanchez D. 5. Garcia P. 6. Martin N. 12. Dotor C. 21. Serrano N. 18. Gelabert Pina C. 9. Queipo D. 19. Otero J.
Substitutes
7. Borrego C. 2. Garcia N. 14. Gelardo A. 12. Insua E. 9. Jauregi E. 25. Ruiz J. (G) 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)	7. Campos G. 11. Campuzano V. 3. Cote 23. Curbelo E. 10. Mendez N. 35. Montes B. 38. Moreno G. (G) 14. Olaetxea L. 27. Oyon A. 4. Pier R. 1. Yanez R. (G)
Coaches
Menendez A.	Garitano A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Garcia P. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Serrano N. ⚽, Garcia P. (A),
45+1', Serrano N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Martin N. 🟨,
55', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
63', Sene J. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
63', Pena H. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
65', Sene J. 🟨,
67', Serrano N. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
67', Otero J. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
67', Borrego C. 🟨,
67', Manzanara F. 🟨,
73', Campuzano V. 🟨,
76', Garcia P. ↓, Cote ↑,
77', Dorrio J. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
77', Martinez B. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
81', Dotor C. ↓, Curbelo E. ↑,
81', Queipo D. ↓, Oyon A. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Gelabert Pina C. ⚽, Campos G. (A),

Preview

Ferrol is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3.

Recent form of Ferrol has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting de Gijón's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ferrol: Blanco R. (Leg Injury) Bunuel A. (Eye injury) Cabaco E. (Knee Injury) Castro D. (Red Card) Perea L. (Heel Injury) Puric A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Caicedo J. (Muscle Injury) Dubasin J. (Muscle Injury) Vazquez K. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.25	Albacete Balompié - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Ferrol - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Ferrol - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Almería - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTLL
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
25.05.25	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	4:3 ✺
25.04.25	Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	1:3
28.01.24	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	1:2
27.08.23	Ferrol - Sporting de Gijón	2:0
Club Friendly
25.07.21	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	2:0
29.07.15	Ferrol - Sporting de Gijón	1:2

Upcoming Matches