The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferrol 52.1%
Draw 26.6%
Unionistas de Salamanca 21.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.3%
26.6%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
25.7%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Diaz L. (G) 3. Pujol E. 5. Monjonell E. 4. Novoa G. 22. Garcia S. 11. Bujan E. 14. Bernal J. 6. Gonzalez F. (C) 10. Ojeda D. 19. Arroyo R. 18. Eto'o E.
1. Daza A. (G) 2. Morer D. 3. Serrano M. 16. Rivera G. 23. Caballo D. 20. Casas A. 14. Marcelo A. 24. Pastor G. 11. Gomez A. 10. de la Nava C. (C) 7. de Bustos H.
Substitutes
20. Alcaina R. 16. Blanco R. 15. Castro D. 23. Djanbou S. 8. Esquerdo V. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 21. Garcia A. 9. Ropero U.
22. Chatiliez W. 13. Emilio (G) 8. Lendinez J. 5. Luis Alcalde 4. Mayor R. 19. Mutilva C. 31. Prados L. L. 21. Retu 17. Saidi A.
Coaches
Vazquez J.
Medina J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Arroyo R. ⚽, Ojeda D. (A),
26', Ojeda D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Pastor G. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
66', Eto'o E. ↓, Alcaina R. ↑,
71', Caballo D. 🟨,
72', de Bustos H. ↓, Chatiliez W. ↑,
72', de la Nava C. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
80', Arroyo R. ↓, Esquerdo V. ↑,
80', Ojeda D. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
80', Marcelo A. ↓, Prados L. L. ↑,
88', Pujol E. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
89', Bujan E. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
90', Monjonell E. 🟨,
90+2', Serrano M. 🟨,
90+4', Alcaina R. 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 16th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 2.
Ferrol has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Unionistas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Ferrol for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Ferrol in today's match, at odds of 1.74.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Ferrol has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:9 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ferrol against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Racing Club Ferrol
9
5
1
3
9:7
2
16
16
Unionistas
9
3
1
5
12:15
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 21.07%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.