Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 15

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferroviária		Maranhão

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.40	5.00
	1.74	3.30	4.90	Watch
	1.69	3.56	5.81
	1.72	3.42	5.07
	1.54	3.60	6.00
	1.63	3.34	5.30
	1.63	3.25	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	5.3 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
55.7%

Draw
27%

Maranhão
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

28.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Ferroviária - Maranhão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Denis Junior (G) 10. Albano 8. Alencar 36. Douglas Skilo 29. Eduardo Oliveira 22. Felipe Rodrigues 13. Gustavo Medina (C) 5. Ricardinho 19. Thiago M. 11. Vitor Barreto 40. Ze Vitor	1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija (C) 3. Edson Fernando 9. Erverson 10. Jorge Rocha 13. Lucao 15. Rosivan 14. Tiburcio 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will
Substitutes
21. Alan Stence 38. Allison 7. Fau 15. Fernandinho 4. Guilherme Ferreira 34. Gustavo Jundi (G) 77. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 33. Pedro Estevam 30. Raoni 6. Rhuan 23. Schilling Arthur	23. Caue (G) 29. Felipe Cruz 7. Kessinho 6. Lucas Santos 26. Luis Gustavo 27. Peu C. 19. Rafael Teixeira 5. Railson 21. Richarles 22. Ronald Makalysten 12. Vitao
Coaches
Rogerio Correa	Testoni J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Erverson 🟨,
45', Vitor Barreto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Erverson ↓, Felipe Cruz ↑,
56', Vagalume 🟨,
57', Douglas Skilo ↓, Fau ↑,
59', Tiburcio 🟨,
64', Vagalume ↓, Luis Gustavo ↑,
64', Jorge Rocha ↓, Richarles ↑,
69', 🟨,
71', Ricardinho ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
71', Felipe Rodrigues ↓, Lucas Rodrigues ↑,
71', Alencar ↓, Alan Stence ↑,
72', Will ↓, Kessinho ↑,
80', Albano ↓, Juninho ↑,
83', Kessinho 🟨,
87', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ferroviária is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Ferroviaria: 23.95%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Ferroviária - Caxias	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Itabaiana - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Ferroviária - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWW
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.26	Maranhão - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Maranhão - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ituano - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Maranhão - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Maringá - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTLT

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