Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Maranhão		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.10
	2.28	2.85	3.10	Watch
	2.35	3.10	3.54
	2.35	2.97	3.25
	2.20	2.90	3.30
	2.08	3.10	3.36	Watch
	2.14	2.90	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.23)	2.97 ↓ (3)	3.27 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maranhão
41.2%

Draw
30.8%

Ypiranga
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Maranhão - Ypiranga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Maranhão will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ypiranga will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija (C) 9. Erverson 10. Jorge Rocha 18. Keven 11. Pimentinha 15. Rosivan 14. Tiburcio 20. Vagalume 8. Vander 17. Will	29. Gabriel Werner (G) 2. Cleiton 27. Dionisio 21. Leo Gobo 79. Leo Rafael 15. Mago 80. Marcelinho 6. Nicolas 43. Ramon Vinicius 9. Renan Gorne 3. Willian Gomes (C)
Substitutes
13. Caio Victor 3. Edson Fernando 29. Felipe Cruz . Kessinho 6. Lucas Santos 26. Luis Gustavo . Peu C. 19. Rafael Teixeira 5. Railson . Richarles . Ronald Makalysten 12. Vitao	33. Alex Goncalves 20. Dudu 7. Felipe Ferreira 85. Lucas Maticoli (G) 16. Lucas Ramos 17. Ranisson 5. Rian 11. Vini Charopem 22. Walce
Coaches
Testoni J.	Gabardo Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Keven 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Andre Radija ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Renan Gorne ↓, Alex Goncalves ↑,
46', Leo Rafael ↓, Walce ↑,
50', Ramon Vinicius 🟨,
63', Mago ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
63', Dionisio ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
66', Erverson ↓, Felipe Cruz ↑,
69', Jorge Rocha ↓, Peu C. ↑,
70', Nicolas ↓, Dudu ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Vini Charopem ⚽,
81', Gabriel Werner 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Andre Radija ⚽,
86', Cleiton 🟨,
87', Will ↓, Edson Fernando ↑,
87', Pimentinha ↓, Richarles ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).

Maranhão is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ypiranga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maranhão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maranhão could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Maranhão - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.41%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie C
04.07.26	Maranhão - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ituano - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Maranhão - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Maringá - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Anápolis - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLTT
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
05.07.26	Ypiranga - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTL

Maranhão - Ypiranga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide