Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)


	Ituano		Maranhão

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.40	5.25
	1.57	3.55	5.30	Watch
	1.67	3.70	5.77
	1.63	3.42	6.05
	1.57	3.40	6.10
	1.60	3.50	5.24	Watch
	1.60	3.30	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.79)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)	5.56 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
57.1%

Draw
26.4%

Maranhão
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

28.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ituano's performance.

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ituano - Maranhão Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Maranhão will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saulo (G) 3. Carlao 5. Gabriel William 10. Guilherme Xavier (C) 4. Leo Coltro 9. Leo Passos 2. Lucas Mota 11. Neto Berola 8. Richard 7. Thassio 6. Tiaguinho	1. Jean (G) 16. Andre Radija 29. Felipe Cruz 10. Jorge Rocha 18. Keven 4. Lucao 19. Rafael Teixeira 15. Rosivan 14. Tiburcio 8. Vander 17. Will
Substitutes
17. Alason Carioca 19. Bruno Mezenga 20. Felipe Muranga 23. Gabriel Razera 16. Guilherme Dal Pian 14. Leandro Sergipe 21. Lucas Stefanello 22. Marlinho 15. Martha 18. Nelsinho 12. Pantera J. (G) 13. Victor Reis	13. Caio Victor 23. Caue (G) 3. Edson Fernando 7. Felipe Sales 9. Joelson 6. Lucas Santos 21. Pedro Lucas 5. Railson 22. Rodrigo 12. Vitao
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Testoni J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Will 🟨,
28', Gabriel William 🟨,
36', Tiaguinho 🟨,
44', Keven 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Leo Passos ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
60', Thassio ↓, Lucas Stefanello ↑,
60', Richard ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
75', Rafael Teixeira ↓, Felipe Sales ↑,
75', Felipe Cruz ↓, Joelson ↑,
83', Jean 🟨,
84', Keven ↓, Edson Fernando ↑,
87', Joelson 🟨,
88', Neto Berola ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
90+3', Jorge Rocha ↓, Railson ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 16).

Ituano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maranhão has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ituano is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
20.06.26	Ituano - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Itabaiana - Ituano	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Caxias - Ituano	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Ituano - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Guarani - Ituano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTLWW
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie C
20.06.26	Maranhão - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Maringá - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Anápolis - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Maranhão - Caxias	0:0 ✺
18.05.26	Confiança - Maranhão	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTTL

Ituano - Maranhão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide