Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ferroviária		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.6	8.5
	1.4	3.4	9
	1.43	3.6	7.4
	1.4	3.57	10.07
	1.36	3.8	8.5
	1.36	4.25	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	3.7 ↓ (4.52)	8.68 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
65.1%

Draw
24.5%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
10.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

19.9%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

12.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Marcílio Dias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Marcílio Dias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferroviária is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Copa Paulista
09.12.20	Marília - Ferroviária	2:0 ✺
06.12.20	Ferroviária - Marília	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
05.12.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.12.20	Botafogo SP B - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Ferroviária - Botafogo SP B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWW
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
05.12.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
14.11.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Caetano	Sao Caetano awarded ✺
07.11.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWL?L

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
05.12.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Ferroviária	0:0

Ferroviária - Náutico Marcílio Dias

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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