Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	1.08	7.5	18
	1.02	11	29
	1.03	10	29
	1.03	10.88	23.71
	1.05	9.5	19
	1.01	15.75	34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.34)	10.77 ↑ (4.5)	25.45 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
88%

Draw
8.5%

São Caetano
3.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

19.9%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

11.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Marcílio Dias's performance.

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Caetano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-49.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Marcílio Dias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Caetano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Caetano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marcílio Dias is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marcílio Dias won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
07.11.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Atlético Tubarão	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Caxias - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:2 ✺
22.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTTT
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Serie D
07.11.20	São Caetano - Atlético Tubarão	1:1 ✺
24.10.20	São Caetano - Brasil de Pelotas	0:9 ✺
21.10.20	Joinville - São Caetano	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	São Caetano - Joinville	2:1 ✺
15.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - São Caetano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
06.10.20	São Caetano - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0

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