Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 23

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Ferroviária		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.9	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
	2.08	3.05	3.65
	2.08	3.2	4.05
	2.09	3.22	3.40	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	1.98	3.2	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.09)	3.11 ↓ (3.23)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
44.5%

Draw
30%

Volta Redonda
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Ferroviária - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviária: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Denis Junior (G) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 43. Joao Ramos 22. Ronaldo Alves (C) 66. Edson Lucas 5. Ricardinho 8. Alencar 35. Netinho 77. Juninho 92. Carlao 10. Fabricio Daniel	33. Jefferson Paulino (G) 13. Jhonny 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 4. Fabricio 6. Sanchez 5. Bruno Barra (C) 28. Andre Luiz 16. Rai 7. Joao Pedro 23. Matheus Lucas 11. MV
Substitutes
20. Albano 83. Erik Nascimento 95. Filipe Costa (G) 27. Hernani 25. Ian Luccas 7. Kevin 9. Ronaldo 29. Tarik 39. Thayllon 37. Thiago Lopes 17. Ze Hugo 31. Ze Mario	20. Chavez Cruz L. L. 14. Chay 29. Daniel Cabral 27. Dener 9. Italo 12. Jean Drosny (G) 22. Juninho Monteiro 99. Kayke 15. Lucas Adell 17. Vitinho Lopes 2. Wellington Silva
Coaches
Vinicius Bergantin	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fabricio ↓, Lucas Adell ↑,
46', Netinho ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
47', Jhonny 🟨,
51', Fabricio Daniel 🟨,
60', Juninho ↓, Thayllon ↑,
64', Jhonny ↓, Wellington Silva ↑,
64', MV ↓, Chavez Cruz L. L. ↑,
70', Fabricio Daniel 🟥,
74', Alencar ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
74', Carlao ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
75', Bruno Barra ↓, Italo ↑,
80', Matheus Lucas ↓, Kayke ↑,
81', Italo 🟨,
89', Ricardinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Ferroviária is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Volta Redonda is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferroviária is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie B
17.08.25	Atlético Goianiense - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
08.08.25	Ferroviária - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Remo - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Ferroviária - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
22.07.25	Athletico Paranaense - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWWTT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
18.08.25	Volta Redonda - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
04.08.25	Cuiabá - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Volta Redonda - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Chapecoense - Volta Redonda	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.04.25	Volta Redonda - Ferroviária	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
19.08.24	Ferroviária - Volta Redonda	5:1

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