The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cuiabá 50.4%
Draw 29.5%
Volta Redonda 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
28.6%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
27.7%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.
Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volta Redonda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Cuiabá - Volta Redonda Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cuiabá will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cuiabá will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Guilherme Nogueira (G) 98. Matheusinho 3. Bruno Alves 4. Nathan Pelae 6. Sander 5. Calebe Costa 27. Denilson Alves (C) 10. Jader 11. Carlos Alberto 25. Alisson Safira 7. Martinez A.
12. Jean Drosny (G) 13. Jhonny 26. Gabriel Bahia 4. Fabricio (C) 22. Juninho Monteiro 28. Andre Luiz 20. Pierre 16. Rai 10. PK 11. MV 9. Italo
Substitutes
1. Arthur (G) 20. David Miguel 45. De Lucca 13. Guilherme Mariano 70. Juan Christian 30. Lucas Mineiro 23. Marcelo Henrique 8. Max Alves 66. Nathan Cruz 47. Victor Barbara
5. Bruno Barra 25. Caio Roque 14. Chay 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 21. Henrique Silva 31. Jefferson Paulino (G) 19. Kayke 8. Leo Ceara 23. Matheus Lucas 17. Vitinho Lopes 2. Wellington Silva
Coaches
Guto Ferreira
Rogerio Correa
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Rai 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Alisson Safira (Pen),
35', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
40', Jader 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juninho Monteiro ↓, Caio Roque ↑,
46', Rai ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
46', Jader ↓, David Miguel ↑,
46', PK ↓, Chay ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽,
63', Jhonny ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
63', Italo ↓, Kayke ↑,
67', Alisson Safira ↓, Nathan Cruz ↑,
74', Carlos Alberto ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
74', Calebe Costa ↓, De Lucca ↑,
76', Guilherme Nogueira 🟨,
79', Matheusinho ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
90+5', Gabriel Bahia 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cuiabá is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Injury)
Asad Y.
(Injury)
Mateus Pasinato
(Inactive)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes
(Inactive)
Sanchez
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Brazil
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Guilherme Nogueira (G) 
Martinez A. 
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