Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 18

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Chapecoense		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.3	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.9
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.25	3.23	3.59
	1.36	4.90	7.83	Watch
	2	3	4.2
	2.23	3.18	3.35	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	4.23 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
48.7%

Draw
28.5%

Volta Redonda
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.7%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	14.8%	7.4%

Chapecoense - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leo Vieira (G) 25. Victor Caetano 4. Joao Paulo 3. Eduardo Doma 22. Mailton 99. Rafael Carvalheira 16. Bruno Matias 37. Clar W. 10. Giovanni Augusto (C) 18. Neto Pessoa 7. Marcinho	12. Jean Drosny (G) 13. Jhonny 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 4. Fabricio (C) 6. Sanchez 20. Pierre 10. PK 16. Rai 28. Andre Luiz 11. MV 9. Italo
Substitutes
14. Bressan 97. Dentinho 26. Everton 2. Gabriel Inocencio 77. Italo 5. Jorge Jimenez 90. Mailson 95. Marcinho 8. Marlon 48. Pedro Martins 9. Pedro Perotti 1. Rafael Santos (G)	1. Avelino (G) 14. Chay 27. Dener 29. Heliardo 21. Henrique Silva 22. Juninho Monteiro 8. Leo Ceara 15. Lucas Adell 30. Matheus Costa 23. Matheus Lucas 2. Wellington Silva
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Mailton ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Andre Luiz ⚽, MV (A),
36', 2 - 1, Rafael Carvalheira ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A),
39', Rai 🟨,
40', 3 - 1, Neto Pessoa ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
56', Mailton 🟨,
56', Mailton ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
57', Andre Luiz 🟨,
61', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
63', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
63', Andre Luiz ↓, Chay ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Neto Pessoa ⚽,
74', PK ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
74', MV ↓, Matheus Costa ↑,
78', Sanchez ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
79', Rai ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
79', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
79', Victor Caetano ↓, Bressan ↑,
80', 4 - 2, Matheus Lucas ⚽,
90+3', Pierre 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chapecoense is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive) Mancha (Inactive) Marcinho (Inactive)

There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive) Gabriel Bahia (Yellow Cards) Lucas Adell (Injury)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio (Injury) Jhonnathan (Inactive)

There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive) Marquinhos (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
20.07.25	América Mineiro - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Chapecoense - Remo	1:1 ✺
07.07.25	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
29.06.25	Chapecoense - Goiás	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Botafogo SP - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTWLL
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
19.07.25	Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense	3:2 ✺
14.07.25	Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
04.07.25	Coritiba - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Volta Redonda - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Atlético Goianiense - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWL

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