Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 19

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Volta Redonda		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.5	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
	2.2	2.98	3.45
	2.27	3.06	3.68
	2.13	3.01	3.72	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.5
	2.21	3.02	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.39)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	3.56 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
42.5%

Draw
31.2%

Vila Nova
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Volta Redonda - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volta Redonda: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Volta Redonda (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jean Drosny (G) 13. Jhonny 26. Gabriel Bahia 4. Fabricio (C) 6. Sanchez 28. Andre Luiz 20. Pierre 16. Rai 10. PK 11. MV 9. Italo	99. Halls (G) 2. Elias 3. Weverton 4. Walisson Maia 13. Willian Formiga (C) 5. Joao Vieira 18. Arilson 21. Paje G. 10. Dodo 33. Bruno Xavier 29. Junior Todinho
Substitutes
5. Bruno Barra 14. Chay 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 21. Henrique Silva 22. Juninho Monteiro 19. Kayke 8. Leo Ceara 15. Lucas Adell 23. Matheus Lucas 17. Vitinho Lopes 2. Wellington Silva 31. Yago Oliveira (G)	7. Andre Luis 20. Bruno Mendes 9. Gabriel Poveda 77. Guilherme Parede 6. Higor 27. Igor Henrique 30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 14. Pedro Romano 8. Ralf 17. Ruan Ribeiro 11. Vinicius Paiva
Coaches
Rogerio Correa	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Italo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Paje G. ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
46', Bruno Xavier ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
55', 2 - 0, MV ⚽, Italo (A),
60', Arilson ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
60', Junior Todinho ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
60', PK ↓, Chay ↑,
78', Sanchez 🟨,
79', Pierre ↓, Henrique Silva ↑,
79', Sanchez ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
79', Dodo ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
79', Rai ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Gabriel Poveda ⚽, Walisson Maia (A),
88', Italo ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).

Volta Redonda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vila Nova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Volta Redonda might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive) Lucas Adell (Injury)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Inactive) Jean Mota (Inactive) Tiago Pagnussat (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive) Marquinhos (Inactive)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Elias (Injury) Marcondes (Knee Injury) Tiago Pagnussat (Injury) Vinicius Paiva (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
23.07.25	Chapecoense - Volta Redonda	4:2 ✺
19.07.25	Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense	3:2 ✺
14.07.25	Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
04.07.25	Coritiba - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Volta Redonda - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLW
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
22.07.25	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Avaí - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
11.07.25	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Ferroviária - Vila Nova	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTTWW

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