Match Info
Cearense - Play Offs - 3rd placeDate: 26 February 2026, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)
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 |
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Ferroviário Fortaleza |
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Floresta |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.92 |
3.65 |
|
 |
2.17 |
2.86 |
3.62 |
 Watch |
 |
2.1 |
2.75 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.19 |
3.03 |
3.54 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.5) |
2.89 ↓
(3.11) |
3.55 ↑
(2.74) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ferroviário Fortaleza
42.7% | Draw
31.6% | Floresta
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviário Fortaleza's performance.Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floresta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floresta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ferroviário will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviário (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Ferroviário (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviário (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
93.  Sivaldo Junior (G)
2. Ramires
3. Leo Paraiso
14. Bruno Miranda
6. Pedrinho
8. Lucas Black
16.  Mena Y.
5. Luan
20. Rosa B.
17. Kiuan
9. Jefinho
| 22. Tiepo (G)
27. Marco Antonio
3. Joao Victor
4. Eduardo
14. Cedric
17. Nonato
5. Danrley
6. Diego Matos
10. Matheusinho
7. Bismark
9. Joao Celeri
|
| Substitutes |
18. Camilo
7. Carlinhos
26. Fernando Portel
15. Joao Neto
13. Pablo Maldini
21. Paulo Ricardo
10. Thalisson
33. Victor Brasil (G)
12. Victor Diotti
| 1. Araujo Silva B. (G)
30. Arilson
19. Daniel
25. Diogo Mourao
15. Eliandro
21. Emerson
12. Goncalves V. (G)
8. Guilherme Borges
16. Marcelo Maia
28. Simplicio M.
26. Thailor
20. Vitinho
|
| Coaches |
 Pereira N.
| Leston Junior
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Bismark ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 44', Ramires 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 68', Jefinho ↓, Paulo Ricardo ↑,
- 68', Thalisson ↓, Luan ↑,
- 83', Matheusinho ↓, Eliandro ↑,
- 84', Diego Matos ↓, Diogo Mourao ↑,
- 85', Nonato 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 0, Kiuan ⚽,
- 90', Rosa B. ↓, Fernando Portel ↑,
- 90+1', Marco Antonio ↓, Daniel ↑,
- 90+3', Paulo Ricardo 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 1.Both teams are currently in poor form. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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