Match Info

Cearense - Championship Group - Round 1

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)


	Fortaleza		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.24	6.82
	1.36	4.33	8.73	Watch
	1.4	3.8	6.5
	1.38	4.2	7.29
	1.4	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)	4.26 ↑ (4)	7.27 ↑ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
66%

Draw
21.4%

Floresta
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

23.1%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fortaleza - Floresta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brenno (G) 22. Mailton 2. Britez E. 6. Cardona T. 3. Gazal 29. Rodrigo 88. Lucas Sasha 10. Lucas Crispim 11. Moises 7. Pochettino T. 9. Bareiro A.	1. Jeferson Souza (G) 15. Eliandro 27. Marco Antonio 3. Eduardo 4. Joao Victor 6. Diego Matos 10. Matheusinho 5. Danrley 8. Guilherme Borges 7. Bismark 9. Joao Celeri
Substitutes
35. Bruninho 27. Caio Wesley 99. Kayke 4. Luan Freitas 38. Lucca Prior 19. Luquinhas 15. Magrao (G) 20. Matheus Rossetto 30. Roco T. 8. Ronald 37. Ryan 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G)	22. Araujo Silva B. (G) 30. Arilson 14. Cedric 25. Diogo Mourao 21. Emerson 28. Indio R. 16. Marcelo Maia 17. Nonato 26. Thailor 12. Tiepo (G) 20. Vitinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Bareiro A. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Rodrigo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marco Antonio ↓, Nonato ↑,
52', Bismark ↓, Diogo Mourao ↑,
65', Pochettino T. ↓, Kayke ↑,
67', Diogo Mourao 🟨,
70', Rodrigo ↓, Ronald ↑,
70', Moises ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
75', Joao Celeri ↓, Thailor ↑,
80', Guilherme Borges ↓, Cedric ↑,
80', Matheusinho ↓, Vitinho ↑,
89', Gazal 🟨,
90+2', Lucas Sasha ↓, Bruninho ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5.

Fortaleza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fortaleza is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
22.01.26	Horizonte - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Fortaleza - Quixadá	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWTL
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
21.01.26	Floresta - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Maranguape - Floresta	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Floresta - Ceará	0:1 ✺
07.01.26	Tirol - Floresta	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Caxias - Floresta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
01.02.25	Floresta - Fortaleza	0:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
02.02.22	Floresta - Fortaleza	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
20.03.19	Fortaleza - Floresta	2:1
01.04.18	Floresta - Fortaleza	1:3
25.03.18	Fortaleza - Floresta	3:1
14.03.18	Floresta - Fortaleza	1:0
17.02.18	Fortaleza - Floresta	3:2

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