Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Ferroviaria U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.71
	3.8	3.7	1.72
	3.99	3.77	1.65
	4.12	2.48	2.27	Watch
	3.96	3.68	1.74
	3.8	3.7	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.57)	3.49 ↓ (3.7)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferroviaria U20
23.3%

Draw
26.1%

São Paulo U20
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.6%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

23.9%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviaria U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviaria U20 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

São Paulo U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviaria U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviária U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.09.25	Ibrachina U20 - Ferroviaria U20	0:1 penalties ✺
19.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Mirassol U20	4:2 ✺
05.09.25	Mirassol U20 - Ferroviaria U20	2:2 ✺
12.08.25	Ferroviaria U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWTW
- São Paulo U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.09.25	São Paulo U20 - Osasco Sporting U20	4:2 ✺
19.09.25	Osasco Sporting U20 - São Paulo U20	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	São Paulo U20 - Mauá U20	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Mauá U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2 ✺
12.08.25	São Paulo U20 - Guaratinguetá U20	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copinha
14.01.24	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	1:2
09.01.24	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	2:1
13.01.19	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	0:2
09.01.19	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2

Upcoming Matches