Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dr. Adhemar de Barros (Sao Paulo)


	Ferroviária		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.57	6.16
	1.61	3.57	6.16
	1.5	3.5	5.5
	1.57	3.48	5.81	Watch
	1.59	3.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.46)	3.49 ↓ (3.9)	5.78 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
58%

Draw
26.2%

Aparecidense
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

21.6%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviária, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ferroviária - Aparecidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Aparecidense will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saulo (C) 9. de Moura C. 3. Gustavo Medina 6. Igor Fernandes 10. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 5. Ricardinho 4. Ronaldo Alves 11. Vitor Barreto 8. Xavier 7. Ze Mateus	1. Pedro Henrique (G) 5. Da Silva 8. Du Fernandes 2. Genilson 7. Guilherme Nunes 9. Igor Torres 11. Julio Cesar 10. Robert (C) 6. Rodrigues 3. Vanderley 14. Victor Oliveira
Substitutes
16. Caua A. 23. Edson Lucas 18. Fernando Boldrin 13. Jackson 12. Leo Wall (G) 17. Luis Henrique 15. Pablo 14. Paulinho Santos 21. Pedro P. 19. Thomaz Carvalho 20. Victor Andrade 22. Weverton	18. Cauari 16. Emanuel 17. Enzo 20. Juninho 13. Luan Sales 12. Matheus Alves (G) 15. Matheus Chaves 23. Matheus Inacio (G) 4. Mauricio 21. Rhuan 19. Wendell
Coaches
Vinicius Bergantin	Lucio F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Julio Cesar 🟨,
15', Juninho 🟨,
19', Genilson 🟨,
22', Guilherme Nunes 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Julio Cesar ↓, Wendell ↑,
46', Guilherme Nunes ↓, Luan Sales ↑,
46', Genilson ↓, Cauari ↑,
52', 🟨,
62', Ricardinho ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
63', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Weverton ↑,
63', Robert ↓, Juninho ↑,
67', Matheus Chaves 🟨,
70', Vanderley 🟨,
77', Juninho ↓, Thomaz Carvalho ↑,
79', Du Fernandes ↓, Enzo ↑,
90+1', Vitor Barreto ↓, Fernando Boldrin ↑,
90+2', Ze Mateus ↓, Caua A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 15).

Ferroviária in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aparecidense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ferroviária could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aparecidense have a series of guest games.

In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ferroviária to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.24	Tombense - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Figueirense - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Ferroviária - Confiança	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Ferroviária - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Floresta - Ferroviária	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWWWW
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.24	Confiança - Aparecidense	3:1 ✺
20.05.24	Athletic Club - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
13.05.24	Aparecidense - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Figueirense - Aparecidense	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Aparecidense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLT

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