Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 35

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)

Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Ferroviária		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.05	2.57	Watch
	2.78	3.05	2.58
	2.80	3.03	2.52	Watch
	2.74	3.02	2.61
	2.8	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.8)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)	2.57 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
33.6%

Draw
30.4%

Criciúma
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

30.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

29.8%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Ferroviária - Criciúma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Denis Junior (G) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 44. Maycon 22. Ronaldo Alves (C) 31. Ze Mario 4. Vitor Mendes 35. Netinho 8. Alencar 77. Juninho 29. Tarik 92. Carlao	1. Alisson (G) 5. Matheus Trindade 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 6. Marcinho 18. Leo Naldi 20. Jean Carlos 76. Felipinho 10. Jhonata Robert 9. Nicolas 77. Diego Goncalves
Substitutes
20. Albano 14. Eric Melo 83. Erik Nascimento 80. Fabio 10. Fabricio Daniel 95. Filipe Costa (G) 27. Hernani 25. Ian Luccas 7. Kevin 37. Thiago Lopes 11. Vitor Barreto 17. Ze Hugo	19. Borasi B. 7. Fellipe Mateus 95. Georgemy (G) 11. Gustavo Maia 21. Joao Carlos 68. Jota 15. Leo Mana 34. Lucas Dias 88. Luiz Henrique 24. Nufour S. 99. Sassa 2. Yan Souto
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Marcinho 🟨,
23', Luciano Castan 🟨,
30', Netinho 🟨,
31', Marcinho 🟨,
36', Jean Carlos ↓, Yan Souto ↑,
41', Maycon ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
45+4', Alencar 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tarik ↓, Albano ↑,
46', Nicolas ↓, Leo Mana ↑,
52', Jota 🟨,
57', Alisson 🟨,
68', Ze Mario 🟨,
69', Ze Mario ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
69', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
77', Felipinho ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
78', Jhonata Robert ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
79', Netinho ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
89', Diego Goncalves ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

Ferroviária has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Criciúma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Knee Injury) Gustavo Jundi (Injury) Gustavo Medina (Inactive) Ricardinho (Yellow Cards) Thayllon (Injury)

There will not play in Criciúma: Caue (Inactive) Guilherme Lobo (Injury) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Kaua Moroso (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Ferroviária: Edson Lucas (Inactive) Ian Luccas (Inactive)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Jonathan (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie B
26.10.25	Vila Nova - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Ferroviária - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
13.10.25	CRB Maceio - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
09.10.25	Ferroviária - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ferroviária - América Mineiro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTTLL
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
27.10.25	Criciúma - Joinville	2:3 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.25	Criciúma - Goiás	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
21.10.25	Joinville - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.10.25	Avaí - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
14.10.25	Criciúma - Caravaggio	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.07.25	Criciúma - Ferroviária	2:1

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