Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Ferroviária		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.37
	3	3.1	2.4
	2.85	2.95	2.38	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.34
	3.19	3.12	2.44
	3	2.8	2.38
	3.1	3.1	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.53)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	2.39 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
30.8%

Draw
30.6%

Santos
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.7%

31.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

23.5%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferroviária - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 0.

Ferroviária is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviária won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.03.22	Guarani - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.03.22	Ferroviária - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.02.22	Ituano - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
20.02.22	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
16.02.22	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
13.03.22	Palmeiras - Santos	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
08.03.22	Fluminense Piaui - Santos	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.02.22	Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.02.22	Salgueiro - Santos	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.02.22	Santos - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.03.21	Santos - Ferroviária	1:1
16.02.20	Ferroviária - Santos	0:0
19.01.19	Santos - Ferroviária	1:0
10.02.18	Ferroviária - Santos	2:2
18.02.17	Santos - Ferroviária	0:1
31.03.16	Santos - Ferroviária	4:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
02.11.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	✺

Ferroviária - Santos