Match Info

Date: 2 March 2022, Wednesday


	Ferroviária		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.32
	2.8	3.05	2.34
	2.87	3.11	2.45
	2.9	3	2.4
	2.88	3.04	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.32)	3.06 ↓ (3.22)	2.39 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
31.9%

Draw
29.9%

Vasco da Gama
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

21.6%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferroviária - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ferroviária is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.02.22	Ituano - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
20.02.22	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
16.02.22	Ferroviária - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
12.02.22	Santo André - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
09.02.22	Ferroviária - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLTL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
26.02.22	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Audax Rio - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
17.02.22	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
09.02.22	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

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