Match Info

Serie D - Round 13

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)


	Horizonte		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.8	1.98
	3.9	2.82	1.98
	4.24	2.8	2.04
	4.4	2.79	1.95
	3.77	3.34	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.6)	2.91 ↓ (3.55)	1.95 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horizonte
22.5%

Draw
31.1%

Santa Cruz Recife
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.4%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

25.1%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horizonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horizonte than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Horizonte - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Horizonte (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Horizonte (1.94) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Horizonte (2.03) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Horizonte (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Claudivan ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Betinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Santa Cruz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Horizonte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horizonte FC
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.25	Horizonte - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Treze - Horizonte	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Sousa - Horizonte	3:1 ✺
15.06.25	Horizonte - Central SC	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Horizonte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWLTL
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	América RN - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Central SC	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.04.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Horizonte	4:0

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