Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Fgura United		Żebbuġ Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.9
				Watch
	2.09	3.27	3.12
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	3.01 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fgura United
43.3%

Draw
26.9%

Żebbuġ Rangers
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

24.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fgura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Fgura United - Żebbuġ Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cini Y. (G) 16. Akande T. 12. Brincat M. 7. Caruana D. (C) 21. Formosa K. 22. Gambin M. 28. Gatt M. 33. Marshall A. N. 23. Quintero D. 10. Rahman A. 45. Tabone M.	10. Bezzina J. 17. Carbone J. 6. Cassar L. 7. Diaz C. 22. Gaetano J. 16. Mendes Fernandes F. J. G. 3. Mifsud G. 8. Mizzi A. (C) 9. Mosquera D. 12. Scicluna J. 23. Vella J.
Substitutes
4. Abdelghani H. 13. Desira G. 25. Formosa R. 9. John I. 11. Micallef I. 30. Pullicino M. 15. Tabone R. 14. Vella R. (G) 77. Zammit M.	14. Agius L. 20. Attard A. 1. Briffa S. (G) 11. Buttigieg S. 15. Micallef A. 4. Saliba D. 18. Sciberras O. 2. Tanti G. 5. Zammit G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Carbone J. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', Carbone J. ↓, Sciberras O. ↑,
46', Cassar L. ↓, Attard A. ↑,
47', 🟨,
48', 1 - 0, Quintero D. ⚽,
55', 2 - 0, Rahman A. ⚽,
68', Quintero D. ↓, John I. ↑,
68', Caruana D. ↓, Micallef I. ↑,
69', Marshall A. N. 🟨,
74', 3 - 0, Micallef I. ⚽,
81', Mifsud G. ↓, Tanti G. ↑,
81', Bezzina J. ↓, Buttigieg S. ↑,
84', Tabone M. ↓, Abdelghani H. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Mosquera D. ⚽,
87', 4 - 1, Rahman A. ⚽,
88', 5 - 1, Micallef I. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fgura won 2.

Recent matches Fgura is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Żebbuġ is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Żebbuġ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fgura won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Fgura won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Gudja United - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Fgura United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Sirens - Fgura United	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.02.25	Fgura United - Birkirkara	0:3 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
01.02.25	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW
- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia	2:3 penalties ✺
Maltese Challenge League
23.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Sirens	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Gudja United - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Swieqi United - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
01.12.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Fgura United	0:0
17.02.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Fgura United	1:0
03.02.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Fgura United	1:3
17.09.21	Fgura United - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:0
24.01.21	Żebbuġ Rangers - Fgura United	3:0
03.10.20	Fgura United - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:0
18.01.20	Żebbuġ Rangers - Fgura United	0:1

Fgura United - Żebbuġ Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide