Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Lija Athletic		Fgura United

	1	X	2
	2.04	4.1	2.75
	2.03	4.3	2.75
	2.06	3.98	2.76
	2.04	4.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.23)	4.12 ↑ (3.6)	2.75 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
44.7%

Draw
22.2%

Fgura United
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Fgura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Lija Athletic - Fgura United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bonnici L. (C) 5. Azzopardi A. 7. Beu E. 83. Briffa S. 44. Courage O. 2. Giordimaina C. 20. Iury 31. Jackson K. 66. Khatib O. 4. Muscat L. 9. Winchester R.	14. Vella R. (G) 12. Brincat M. (C) 21. Formosa K. 22. Gambin M. 28. Gatt M. 9. John I. 33. Marshall A. N. 3. Pisani L. 23. Quintero D. 10. Rahman A. 45. Tabone M.
Substitutes
99. Amhamed A. 24. Azzopardi B. 11. Costa R. 15. Jovanoski J. 16. Joyce G. 1. Mallia J. 8. Mifsud M. 33. Sciberras B. 21. Xuereb Pavia D.	4. Abdelghani H. 54. Bartolo B. 13. Desira G. 25. Formosa R. 11. Jovanovic A. 99. Okito Lundula E. 15. Pullicino M. 5. Xuereb A. 77. Zammit M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Rahman A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Azzopardi A. ↓, Sciberras B. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Courage O. ⚽,
52', Courage O. 🟨,
63', Gambin M. ↓, Xuereb A. ↑,
63', Quintero D. ↓, Okito Lundula E. ↑,
76', Jackson K. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Tabone M. ⚽,
83', Beu E. 🟨,
84', Winchester R. 🟨,
85', Courage O. ↓, Jovanoski J. ↑,
86', Rahman A. ↓, Abdelghani H. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, John I. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, Beu E. (Pen),
90+3', John I. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lija won 1.

Lija is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fgura is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lija won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:16 (average 1.1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Lija won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.25	Gudja United - Lija Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Lija Athletic - St. Andrews	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Mtarfa - Lija Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Lija Athletic - Sirens	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
09.03.25	Fgura United - Senglea Athletic	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Fgura United - Żebbuġ Rangers	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Gudja United - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Fgura United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Sirens - Fgura United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
01.02.25	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	0:1
16.03.24	Fgura United - Lija Athletic	1:1
02.12.23	Fgura United - Lija Athletic	3:0
23.04.23	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	4:2
11.09.22	Fgura United - Lija Athletic	2:2
Maltese FA Trophy
08.12.21	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	0:4
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.20	Fgura United - Lija Athletic	3:1

Lija Athletic - Fgura United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide