Match Info
Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 4Date: 15 March 2026, SundayLocation: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)
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Sirens |
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Fgura United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.52 |
3.6 |
2.28 |
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2.57 |
3.5 |
2.25 |
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2.59 |
3.67 |
2.3 |
 Watch |
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2.6 |
3.25 |
2.3 |
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2.58 |
3.48 |
2.28 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.2) |
3.5 ↓
(3.7) |
2.28 ↓
(2.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sirens
34.9% | Draw
25.7% | Fgura United
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sirens's form might have worsened.Fgura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sirens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fgura United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sirens - Fgura United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Schembri Wismayer A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 56', 2 - 0, Nonato T. ⚽,
- 58', 2 - 1, Buhagiar S. ⚽,
- 60', 3 - 1, Zammit T. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 2, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ⚽,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Fgura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Sirens has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sirens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 3:2).Including home matches between the teams, Sirens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Fgura | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
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| 6 | Sirens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Fgura United - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.11%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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