Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday


	Fidelis Andria		Catania

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.6
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.65	3.2	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.4)	3.15 ↓ (3.44)	2.54 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fidelis Andria
35.8%

Draw
28.7%

Catania
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

19.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fidelis Andria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fidelis Andria - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 13).

Fidelis Andria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Catania is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fidelis Andria won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Fidelis Andria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	Fidelis Andria - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
23.01.22	Vibonese - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.01.22	Fidelis Andria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
22.12.21	Juve Stabia - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
19.12.21	Fidelis Andria - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTL
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.22	Catania - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
23.01.22	Bari - Catania	3:3 ✺
22.12.21	Catania - Monopoli	0:2 ✺
19.12.21	ACR Messina - Catania	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Catania - Palermo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
04.09.21	Catania - Fidelis Andria	2:0
04.02.18	Fidelis Andria - Catania	0:2
23.09.17	Catania - Fidelis Andria	1:0
29.12.16	Catania - Fidelis Andria	0:0
04.09.16	Fidelis Andria - Catania	0:0
07.05.16	Catania - Fidelis Andria	2:1
09.01.16	Fidelis Andria - Catania	0:0

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