Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bari		Catania

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	7	Watch
	1.35	4.3	7.25
	1.43	3.8	6.4
	1.4	4.16	8.33
	1.38	3.8	8
	1.42	4.04	8.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)	4 ↑ (3.57)	7.53 ↑ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
65.1%

Draw
22.8%

Catania
12.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.2%

25.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

15.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bari's performance.

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-30.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bari - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 13).

Bari is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Catania is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bari is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Bari is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bari won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
22.12.21	Bari - Potenza	2:0 ✺
19.12.21	Palermo - Bari	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Bari - Taranto	3:1 ✺
06.12.21	Avellino - Bari	1:1 ✺
27.11.21	Bari - Latina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWTW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
22.12.21	Catania - Monopoli	0:2 ✺
19.12.21	ACR Messina - Catania	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Catania - Palermo	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Latina - Catania	1:0 ✺
27.11.21	Catania - Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
19.09.21	Catania - Bari	1:2
21.02.21	Catania - Bari	1:1
26.10.20	Bari - Catania	4:1
27.10.19	Catania - Bari	0:0
Italian Serie B
03.03.15	Bari - Catania	1:1
12.10.14	Catania - Bari	2:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.26	Bari - Scafatese	✺
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.26	Audace Cerignola - Catania	✺

Bari - Catania