Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Fidelis Andria		Sarnese

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.4
	2.1	3.05	3.45	Watch
	2.08	3.12	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.21)	3.06 ↑ (3)	3.53 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fidelis Andria
44%

Draw
30%

Sarnese
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

32.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fidelis Andria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Fidelis Andria - Sarnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Fidelis Andria could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fidelis Andria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Fidelis Andria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fidelis Andria	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Last Results with these Odds

Fidelis Andria - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.11%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.04.26	Virtus Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Fidelis Andria - Francavilla	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Fidelis Andria - Acerrana	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Afragolese - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Fidelis Andria - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWLW
- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H
12.04.26	Sarnese - Nardo	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Acerrana - Sarnese	2:5 ✺
28.03.26	Sarnese - Nola	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Heraclea - Sarnese	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sarnese - Gravina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Sarnese - Fidelis Andria	2:1
18.04.19	Sarnese - Fidelis Andria	1:2
12.12.18	Fidelis Andria - Sarnese	3:0

Fidelis Andria - Sarnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide