Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Afragolese		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.05	3.15
	2.18	3.15	3.16	Watch
	2.18	3.08	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afragolese
42%

Draw
29.3%

Fidelis Andria
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Fidelis Andria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Afragolese - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+10', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Afragolese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Afragolese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fidelis Andria	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.03.26	Ferrandina - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Afragolese - Acerrana	5:2 ✺
22.02.26	Barletta - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Afragolese - Nardo	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Manfredonia - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLTT
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.03.26	Fidelis Andria - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Nardo - Fidelis Andria	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Fidelis Andria - Città di Fasano	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Nola - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Fidelis Andria - Real Normanna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
09.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Afragolese	2:1

Afragolese - Fidelis Andria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide