Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao) (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet


	Botafogo PB		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.98	3.75	Watch
	2.01	3.1	3.88
	2.02	3.14	3.9	Watch
	2	2.8	3.75
	1.96	3.02	3.84	Watch
	2.42	3.03	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.41)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	3.65 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
44.5%

Draw
30.4%

Barra Santa Catarina
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

31%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barra Santa Catarina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barra Santa Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Botafogo PB - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Max Walef (G) 77. Bastos R. 16. Bull 22. Dudu 12. Erick 11. Felipe Azevedo 8. Igor Maduro 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 10. Nene (C) 3. Yan Souto	1. Ewerton (G) 11. Cleo Silva 6. Da Rocha 4. Everton Alemao 2. Fabio 10. Gabriel Silva 8. Henrique Freitas 3. Jean Pierre (C) 7. Matheus Barbosa 9. Renan Bernabe 5. Tete
Substitutes
29. Anderson Chaves 2. Diogo Mateus 88. Gabriel Tota 18. Giovanni 31. Gustavo 9. Henrique Dourado 33. Julio Vaz 15. Kayon 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 35. Octavio 6. Patric Calmon 28. Romario	12. Fabian Volpi (G) 14. Guilherme Lazaroni 18. Lucas Vargas 17. Marcelinho 15. Pablo 19. Saymon 13. Vava 20. Vinicius Popo 16. Warley
Coaches
Lisca	Franco B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Jean Pierre 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Renan Bernabe ↓, Lucas Vargas ↑,
46', Gabriel Tota ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Nene (Penalty Awarded),
64', Matheus Barbosa ↓, Pablo ↑,
64', Henrique Freitas ↓, Saymon ↑,
76', Cleo Silva ↓, Warley ↑,
82', Bastos R. ↓, Kayon ↑,
82', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Gustavo ↑,
85', Nene ↓, Thallyson ↑,
89', Gustavo Santos 🟨,
89', Dudu ↓, Julio Vaz ↑,
90', Henrique Dourado 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Barra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Barra FC: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
21.03.26	Botafogo PB - Sousa	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Botafogo PB - Serra Branca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWTWW
- Barra Santa Catarina
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Volta Redonda - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - América Mineiro	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.03.26	Chapecoense - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Chapecoense	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Camboriú	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWW

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