Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao) (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.77	3.25	6.12
	1.85	3.08	4.75	Watch
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.68	3.02	5.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2)	3.15 ↑ (2.96)	5.43 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
53.8%

Draw
29.2%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

31.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+4%)

Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Luiz Daniel (G) 16. Bull 22. Dudu 7. Dudu Hatamoto 12. Erick 11. Felipe Azevedo 88. Gabriel Tota 18. Giovanni 8. Igor Maduro 14. Igor Morais 3. Yan Souto (C)	12. Cris (G) 8. Allef 16. Arthurzinho 4. Cristian Lucca (C) 3. Jackson 25. Jeferson Lopes 21. Lima V. 28. Motta 22. Paulinho 26. Sammuel 11. Wandson
Substitutes
77. Bastos R. 2. Diogo Mateus 31. Gustavo 9. Henrique Dourado 5. Jhonata Varela 33. Julio Vaz 15. Kayon 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 35. Octavio 6. Patric Calmon 28. Romario 20. Thallyson	13. Danilo Mendes 1. Dida (G) 18. Filipe Ramon 19. Iarley 27. Jailson 7. Keliton 20. Leo Bahia 2. Leo Principe 15. Roni Lobo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Wandson ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Gabriel Tota ⚽,
42', Motta 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lima V. ↓, Iarley ↑,
46', Giovanni ↓, Bastos R. ↑,
56', Wandson ↓, Jailson ↑,
63', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Gustavo ↑,
63', Gabriel Tota ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
65', Motta ↓, Keliton ↑,
69', Iarley 🟨,
75', Allef ↓, Leo Bahia ↑,
79', Dudu 🟨,
87', Igor Morais 🟨,
87', Dudu ↓, Jhonata Varela ↑,
89', Cris 🟨,
90', Gustavo 🟨,
90', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Kayon ↑,
90+9', 2 - 1, Bastos R. ⚽,
90+9', 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 2, Keliton ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 1.

Botafogo PB is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ASA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

ASA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Botafogo PB is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo PB won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo PB - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.65%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
21.03.26	Botafogo PB - Sousa	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Botafogo PB - Serra Branca	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Serra Branca - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWWL
- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Piauí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
14.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
07.03.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
02.03.26	Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
28.02.26	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
01.09.17	Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0
02.07.17	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Botafogo PB	2:1
11.09.16	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Botafogo PB	0:0
10.07.16	Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:0
08.08.15	Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:2
24.05.15	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Botafogo PB	1:1
21.09.14	Botafogo PB - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2

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