The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz Recife 47.9%
Draw 29.5%
Figueirense 22.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.1%
28.9%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
28%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Santa Cruz Recife - Figueirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Figueirense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Cruz (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Gabriel Souza (G) 6. Alex Ruan 27. Edson Miranda 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 13. Matheus Vinicius 5. Pedro Favela 17. Ronald 23. Tiago Marques 18. Vitinho 4. William Alves (C)
12. Fabricio Santana (G) 14. Breno 8. Dudu 99. Emerson Galego 70. Igor Bolt 25. Jhonnathan 3. Leonan Santos 37. Lucas Dias (C) 17. Mailson 7. Raynan 22. Vitor Ricardo
Substitutes
15. Andrey 14. Denis 28. Eron 7. Fabinho 30. Jefferson Bahia 21. Nilton 20. Patrick Allan 19. Renato 12. Rokenedy (G) 26. Silva 2. Thiago Ennes 31. Ze Mario
27. Felipe Santiago 91. Hyuri 19. Joao Marcos 82. Jose Carlos 23. Junior (G) 2. Leo Maia 5. Renan Areias 26. Renz L. 88. Silvinho
Coaches
Cristian Souza
Raul Cabral
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Dudu 🟨,
35', Alex Ruan 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Emerson Galego (Penalty Awarded),
42', Matheus Vinicius 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matheus Vinicius ↓, Renato ↑,
50', Pedro Favela 🟨,
51', Alex Ruan ↓, Nilton ↑,
53', Emerson Galego 🟨,
53', Emerson Galego ↓, Hyuri ↑,
60', William Alves 🟨,
64', Tiago Marques ↓, Eron ↑,
64', Everaldo ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
73', Jhonnathan ↓, Felipe Santiago ↑,
73', Lucas Dias ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
75', Raynan 🟨,
77', Ronald ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
77', Vitinho ↓, Fabinho ↑,
79', Edson Miranda 🟨,
83', Igor Bolt ↓, Jose Carlos ↑,
83', Breno ↓, Renan Areias ↑,
84', Mailson ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
90+5', Joao Marcos 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 16).
Santa Cruz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Figueirense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Santa Cruz might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
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Gabriel Souza (G) 
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